October 12, 2002

 
 
 
 


Indian casino gaming: is it a solution to Western New York's economic stagnation or just a bad bet?

by Cornelius Murray

Introduction

 This document identifies some of the issues that should be carefully considered by State and local officials regarding the recent Tribal-State Compact entered into by Governor Pataki and the Seneca Nation of Indians under the federal Indian Gaming Regulatory Act (“IGRA”), which many think is a solution - or at least a major part of one - to the declining economy of Western New York. There are, however, a number of unresolved matters - aside from the current legal challenges - that must break just right for the casinos to become a reality and bring about the economic revitalization so many people are hoping for.

 Issues

 1.         Will the cities of Buffalo and Niagara Falls realize sufficient revenues from their portion of the State’s revenue-sharing with the Tribe to pay for the costs they will have to incur in providing services and hearing other burdens resulting from the operation of the casinos?

 2.         Will the Senecas have to pay any revenue at all to the State since tinder the Compact they are relieved from such obligation if any other similar gambling competes with their own, such as video lottery terminals which Buffalo Raceway is about to install?

 3.        Will the U. S. Department of the Interior give the necessary approval to a Compact containing a revenue-sharing agreement calling for up to 25% of the proceeds to go to the State when the Tribe does not enjoy the exclusive right to operate gaming devices?

 4.        What is a “realistic” time frame for the casinos to become operational if, as is likely the case, the Governor and the Tribe are unable to expedite the federal review process in light of the recent federal court decision denying the Senecas’ land claim with respect to Grand Island?

 Analysis

Point One: The Revenue Projections Are Grossly Unrealistic and Actual Revenue May Well Be Insufficient for the Cities of Buffalo and Niagara Falls to Cover the Costs They Will Incur Related to Indian Casino Gaming

One of the Governor’s principal justifications for Indian casino gaming, and, in particular, the Compact he recently executed with the Seneca Nation of Indians, is that it will be a major revenue-generating device for the State at a time when New York’s fiscal outlook is otherwise particularly bleak. Under the terms of the Compact entered into with the Senecas, in the first four years of operation the State is supposed to receive 18% of the net drop from the operation of “gaming devices” at the proposed sites for casinos in both Niagara Falls and Buffalo. (See ¶ 12(b) at p. 15 of the Compact.) The Compact calls for the State to receive 22% in years 5-7, and the amount will increase to 25% in years 8-14. Id.

This also has implications for the cities of Buffalo and Niagara Falls, because under the legislation authorizing the Governor to enter into the Compact, municipal governments hosting the facilities are to receive at least 25% of the revenue received by the State. (See State Finance Law § 99-h, subd. 3, as added by § 3 of Part B of L. 2001, ch. 383.)

Seneca Nation officials are especially optimistic; they are quoted in the August 23, 2002 edition of the Buffalo News as saying that in the first year the City of Niagara Falls will receive $10 million under this arrangement.   The math, however, indicates that for the City to realize this amount, the operation of gaming devices in the first year would have to yield a total revenue of $222,222,222 (the City’s share is one ­fourth of the State’s share of 18% or 4.5%. $10 million is 4.5% of $222,222,222.) In turn, this means that the total amount wagered would have to be at least $2.2 billion, assuming that the machines return at least 90% to bettors. In Las Vegas, slots return closer to 98% to bettors, in which case the total amount that would have to be bet at just the Niagara Falls Casino would reach a staggering $11 billion in the first year alone. This doesn’t even consider the fact that the Niagara Falls casino will be competing with another brand new casino a short distance away in Buffalo which will presumably have to achieve the same kind of performance levels, if not better!

Niagara Falls’ Corporation Counsel is quoted in the previously referred to Buffalo News article as saying that he is not at all sure that the projected $10 million would he sufficient to cover the City’s anticipated costs for additional services and other burdens it must bear as a result of the operation of a casino. As just indicated, however, it is no sure thing that the City will realize anything close to the $10 million projected by Tribe officials. According to the Buffalo News article, the Corporation Counsel is also apparently assuming that he can negotiate a “richer” deal with the Senecas. That, however, seems highly unlikely. Under the legislation passed last year, the amount the City receives is subject to negotiation between the City and the State. The Tribe has nothing to do with that, as Beth Kelly, a Seneca spokeswoman, was quoted as saying in the Buffalo News article. She’s right! The Senecas’ only obligation is to pay the State the percentage called for in ¶ 12(b) of the Compact. This was the intent of the State and the Tribe when it entered into the original Memorandum of Understanding in June 2001. (See Page 3 of the Memorandum. “Local Impact.”) Niagara Falls will have to look to the State Legislature to get more than its 25% share of what the State is entitled to receive under the Compact.

Worse yet, however, is the prospect that neither the City nor the State will receive anything from the Tribes with respect to the operation of their casinos. Any Tribal-State Compact for Indian gaming must first be approved by the U.S. Secretary of the Interior in accordance with IGRA “which prohibits the imposition of a tax, fee, charge or other assessment upon an Indian tribe to engage in a Class HI activity.” 25 U.S.C. § 2710(b)(3)(Cfl4). (See letter dated July 26. 2000 from the Department of the Interior addressed to the St. Regis Mohawk Tribe with a copy to Governor Pataki.)

Point Two: The Senecas May Not Be Required To Share Any Revenues If They Must Compete With Video Lottery Terminals at Buffalo Raceway

 Even if a revenue-sharing agreement, however, were otherwise acceptable, it would only be enforceable by the State on the condition that the Tribe enjoyed exclusivity with respect to the operation of gaming devices anywhere in the State west of State Highway Route 14. (See 12(a) of the Compact). Any violation of such exclusivity (someone else operating gaming devices in the State west of Route 14) with respect to any category of gaming device would relieve the Tribe of its obligations to pay the State any revenues from the operation of devices of that same category. Under the Compact, there are two categories of gaming devices: slot machines and video lottery games. (See page 2 of the Compact defining “Gaming Device.”) Thus, if the State were to operate a video lottery game anywhere west of Route 14, the Tribe would he relieved of its obligation to share any of the revenue it may derive from its operation of such devices at its own casino.

        In point of fact, the State may already be in breach of the Compact. In the very same legislation that purported to give the Governor the authority to enter into the compact with the Senecas, Chapter 383 of the Laws of 2001 the Legislature authorized the New York State Lottery to install video lottery terminals (“VLTs”) at racetracks in several locations across the State, provided the local county legislature approves. (See Tax Law § 1617-a, as added by § 1 of Part C of Chapter 383 of the Laws of 2001.) Erie County has already given its approval to the Buffalo Raceway to install such devices at its track. As soon as the VLTs become operational at Buffalo Raceway, however, the Tribe would be relieved of any obligation to pay revenues from the operation of its video lottery gaming devices. It is unclear how much of the revenues the Tribe expects to derive from these gaming devices as opposed to slot machines (assuming for the sake of argument that there is any real difference between “slot machines” and VLTs), but it is certainly a question the City of Niagara Falls ought to he asking.

Point Three: The Federal Government May Not Issue The Necessary Approval For The Compact In Light Of Its Past Actions With Respect To Proposed Revenue-Sharing Agreements

 There is also a serious question whether the Bureau of Indian Affairs within the U.S. Department of the Interior would ever approve the Compact with the current revenue-sharing provisions in it. Federal approval is, as previously stated, a prerequisite to the effectiveness of any Tribal-State Compact under IGRA. 25 U.S.C. § 2710(d)(3)(B).

As noted in a recent letter dated November 21, 2001 the U.S. Secretary of the Interior for Indian Affairs advised Gary Johnson, Governor of New Mexico, that of the “more than 200 Tribal-State Compacts to date … only a few have called for Tribal payments to states other than for direct expenses to defray the costs of regulating gaming activity tinder the Compact.” The Department noted that it would not approve compacts that failed to provide tribes with substantial exclusivity with respect to Indian gaming, and that the Interior Department “has a trust obligation to Indian tribes to ensure that the benefit received by the State under the proposed Compact is appropriate in light of the benefit conferred on the Tribe.”

In that particular letter, the Interior Department did approve an 8% revenue-sharing agreement, carefully noting, however, that this was not to be misconstrued as part of an earlier Compact that called for a 16% revenue-sharing arrangement between an Indian tribe and the State of New Mexico. Moreover, the Department went out of its way in the letter to note that it is was unlikely that there would he substantial competition from slot machines operating at any nearby (within 100 miles) racetracks. By contrast, in the instant case, the State’s “piece of the action” is well above 16% and Buffalo Raceway will be installing video lottery terminals right in the casinos’ own backyard.

It is obvious that the State cannot have it both ways. If it wants both Indian casino gaming and video lottery terminals at racetracks, it cannot expect any revenue from the operation of the video lottery terminals at Indian casinos, because the Tribe’s obligation to pay is conditioned upon its “exclusive” right to operate such devices. The State, therefore, may have “shot itself in the proverbial foot” by authorizing both types of gambling in the same bill - i.e., Indian gaming under Part B of Chapter 383 of the Laws of 2001, and video lottery terminals at racetracks, under Part C.

Even more ominous is the July 26, 2000 rejection by the Bureau of Indian Affairs of a proposed 25% revenue-sharing agreement that was presented to it for approval by Governor Pataki and the St. Regis Mohawk Tribe. The Bureau noted that the operation by the New York State Lottery of an electronic Keno game, known as “Quick Draw,” should reduce, if not eliminate, any revenue sharing obligation that tribe would otherwise have to the State. In particular, the Bureau, as previously mentioned, noted a provision of IGRA, 25 U.S.C. §2710(d)(3)(C)(4), which prohibits the imposition of any tax, fee, charge or other assessment upon an Indian tribe to engage in a class III activity.

It is difficult to see how the Bureau of Indian Affairs could approve a Compact that requires the tribe to enter into a 25% revenue sharing agreement with the State when the State continues to operate Quick Draw which would compete with the Senecas’ casinos.  How does this case differ, if at all, from the St. Regis Mohawk proposal that the Bureau rejected?

Point Four: The Federal Review Process May Not Receive Expedited Review But May Instead Be Subjected To A Lengthy Review Process In Light Of A Recent Federal Court Decision Rejecting The Senecas’ Land Claim for Grand Island

Another area of major concern for the cities of Buffalo and Niagara Falls concerns the time frames within which all this gambling is likely to occur, if ever. A year ago, when he entered into the Memorandum of Understanding with the Senecas, the Governor’s own press release, dated June 20, 2001 forecast that the Niagara Falls Casino would he open by April, 2002.  The same press release forecast an opening date for a casino in Buffalo by the end of 2002.

        It appears that these optimistic forecasts were based in part on the notion that the Governor and the Tribe would obtain an expedited review of the casino applications with the Federal Government under the so-called Seneca Nation Settlement Act of 1990, codified at 25 U.S.C. § 1774 et seq. This legislation - enacted to implement the settlement of the land claim by the Senecas for territory in and around the City of Salamanca. The law provided, in pertinent part, that the proceeds from the funds appropriated to settle that land claim could also be used by the Senecas to purchase certain additional land within its aboriginal area or in near proximity to former reservation kind, which would then, in effect, become Indian land. (See 25 U.S.C. § 1774 f (c).) This, in turn, would eliminate the need for elaborate and lengthy review by the Federal Government of proposed Indian casinos at “off reservation” sites on what is commonly referred to as “land into trust” property. This is property that is not Indian land that is nevertheless purchased by the Secretary of the Interior for the benefit of a tribe. Casino gaming on such property can occur only in accordance with elaborate review procedures set forth in federal law and regulation. (See 25 USC § 2719 and 25 C.F.R. Part 151. See a/so National Environmental Policy Act, 42 U.S.C. §4321 et seq. and 40 C.F.R. Parts 1500-1508.) These extensive reviews are required because “land into trust property” is not considered original Indian land and federal law and regulations therefore require elaborate environmental assessments to determine the impact upon the surrounding community of any such operation. This elaborate review prolongs any approval, and would make the projected opening dates for casinos even more unlikely than they already are.

Unfortunately, for the Governor and the Senecas, a recent (June 21, 2002) decision by the U.S. District Court in the Western District of New York, Seneca Nation of Indians v. State of New York, casts considerable doubt on whether the Governor and/or the Senecas will be able to obtain the expedited review they had hoped for under the Seneca Nation Settlement Act. Judge Richard  Arcara rejected a land claim that the Senecas had filed with respect to Grand Island on the Niagara River, not far from Niagara Falls. In an opinion, over 200 pages in length that spanned more than 300 years of history, he ruled that the “Seneca Nation’s ancestral lands were located in the Genesee Valley, not in the Niagara Region and certainly not on the Niagara Islands.” As a result, there is no basis for invoking the expedited review process that would be available under the Seneca Nation Settlement Act to citable the Governor and the Tribe to bypass the environmental assessments and other elaborate reviews which are necessary for “land into trust” arrangements. If the Judge’s decision holds up, it is clear that this land would not qualify as aboriginal land, and any federal approval, if it ever comes, is a long way down the road.

Conclusion

There are, therefore, obviously a number of serious questions which need to be asked immediately by responsible individuals before the State and the Cities of Niagara Falls and Buffalo have traveled too far down the “Casino Road” in the hopes of finding a pot of gold at the end. Unfortunately, unless they immediately reassess the situation, they may hit a brick wall instead.

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